Will the SPD get the most party‑list (Zweitstimmen) votes in Mecklenburg‑Vorpommern on September 19?

🤖 Context

YES if the official final result for the Mecklenburg‑Vorpommern Landtag election held on 19 September 2026 shows the SPD received a strictly larger percentage of valid party‑list (Zweitstimmen) votes than any other party. If the official final result shows two or more parties tied for the highest percentage, the market resolves NO. The deciding source is the Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg‑Vorpommern or, if unavailable, consistent reporting of the official final result by at least two independent regional or national news outlets. If the election is lawfully postponed, cancelled, or later declared invalid before any final result is published, the market resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 19, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 20, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tagesschau.de. For now, the crowd puts YES at 73%, based on 41 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

73%

Predictions made

41

Credits staked

1,109

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 19, 2026

Closes

Sep 19, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 20, 2026

Resolution source

tagesschau.de

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 19, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 20, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 73% and NO 27%, based on 41 predictions and 1.1K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tagesschau.de once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the SPD get the most party‑list (Zweitstimmen) votes in Mecklenburg‑Vorpommern on September 19?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the SPD get the most party‑list (Zweitstimmen) votes in Mecklenburg‑Vorpommern on September 19?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.