Will Xi Jinping and Donald Trump meet face-to-face?

60%
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70%
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YES if, no later than September 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM (New York local time), credible reporting by at least two independent major international news organizations, or an official statement or readout from the White House or the Office of the President of Ukraine, confirms that Volodymyr Zelenskyy and US President Donald Trump met face-to-face in New York during Zelenskyy's visit reported on 22 September 2026. This includes bilateral in-person meetings held anywhere in New York, including brief encounters on the margins of the UN General Assembly. Telephone or video calls and meetings that were announced but subsequently cancelled do not count. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 25, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 30, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tagesschau.de. For now, the crowd puts YES at 70%, based on 32 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledIf
Given the tight timeline and the nature of their past interactions, it seems unlikely that Zelenskyy and Trump will meet face-to-face in New York this time.

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40%
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62%
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40%
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62%
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