🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 30 · Results Oct 31
Will a public protest or march take place in Paris on October 31?
95%
Stable · last 24h
960 bets · 36.3K credits17
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PoliticsOpened Sep 13 · Results Sep 28
Will Republicans lead the national generic congressional ballot on September 27?
39%
Stable · last 24h
📊 443 bettors💎 8.4K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Sep 28🤖 Context
YES if VoteHub's public national 30-day trailing average for the "2026 generic congressional ballot" shown for September 27, 2026 displays the Republican party's percentage strictly greater than the Democratic party's percentage, otherwise NO. A displayed tie resolves NO. If VoteHub does not publish a clear September 27 aggregate, the market may be resolved using mainstream poll aggregators or major news outlets such as FiveThirtyEight, RealClearPolitics, the Associated Press, or the New York Times that explicitly state which party led the national generic congressional ballot on September 27, 2026, using the reported numeric leader.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No39%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 61% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 39%
- Predictions made
- 443
- Credits staked
- 8,420
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Sep 13, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 27, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 9, 2026
- Outcome
- No
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