Will the 'Pas de fusils sur les cendres' petition reach 500,000 signatures?

🤖 Context

YES if the public Change.org petition page for 'Pas de fusils sur les cendres' shows a cumulative total of 500,000 or more signatures at any time no later than September 10, 2026. Confirmation of 500,000+ by two or more independent national news outlets (for example AFP, Le Monde, Franceinfo, BFMTV) no later than September 10, 2026 also settles YES. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lcp.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 74%, based on 47 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

74%

Predictions made

47

Credits staked

1,754

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 2, 2026

Closes

Sep 9, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 11, 2026

Resolution source

lcp.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 11, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 74% and NO 26%, based on 47 predictions and 1.8K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against lcp.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the 'Pas de fusils sur les cendres' petition reach 500,000 signatures?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the 'Pas de fusils sur les cendres' petition reach 500,000 signatures?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.