Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?

32%
-1% last 24h

59%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 16YES if VoteHub's national 30-day trailing "Approve" average for Donald Trump's job approval, as shown on VoteHub's polls page for September 15, 2026, is strictly greater than 38.0 percentage points, otherwise NO. If VoteHub does not display a numeric national "Approve" aggregate for Trump on September 15, 2026, contemporaneous reporting from major national news outlets or other public polling aggregators that quote the numeric national "Approve" average for Trump on that date may be used to settle the market. If the applicable source shows exactly 38.0%, the market resolves NO, and use the site-displayed aggregate number as shown without recomputing or re-weighting component polls; only the "Approve" percentage counts, not favorability or other metrics.
How markets are built and settled59%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 59% sure, and they nailed it.
With a current approval at 38.3%, it seems likely Trump will stay above 38% on the 15th, especially given the short timeframe. Public sentiment can shift, but he's on the cusp now.

32%
-1% last 24h

94%
Stable · last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h

33%
Stable · last 24h

32%
-3% last 24h
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