Will a majority of valid votes in Guinea-Bissau's August 30 referendum be 'Yes' to give the president expanded powers?

90%
+12% last 24h

84%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the SCO leaders' official final joint communiqué or other official SCO statement issued no later than September 3, 2026 contains the word 'multipolar' or the phrase 'multipolar world', and that wording is confirmed in reporting by two or more independent major news organizations (for example AP, Reuters, BBC). Otherwise NO. Commentators' paraphrases that do not appear in the official SCO communiqué or official SCO text do not count.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 3, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 3, 2026. The outcome will be settled against apnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 84%, based on 39 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledMultipolar
Given the current geopolitical climate and the increasing focus on multipolarity in international relations, it's likely that the SCO communiqué will include 'multipolar' or 'multipolar world.'

90%
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53%
Stable · last 24h

80%
Stable · last 24h

57%
Stable · last 24h

81%
Stable · last 24h

30%
-16% last 24h
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