🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Nov 11
Will the US carry out additional military strikes in or directly over the Strait of Hormuz?
53%
-1% last 24h
1578 bets · 47.5K credits20
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PoliticsOpened Nov 2 · Results Nov 5
Will the organisers or unions call off the planned general strike on November 5?
4%
Stable · last 24h
📊 1129 bettors💎 40.9K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Nov 5🤖 Context
YES if the organisers or unions who called a general strike for November 5, 2026 publicly announce the cancellation or withdraw the call no later than 00:00 on November 5, 2026. Otherwise NO. • The announcement must be reported by at least two independent national news outlets. • An explicit postponement to another specific date does not count as a cancellation. • Source: reporting by at least two independent national news outlets (e.g. BFMTV, AFP).
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No4%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 96% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The market should resolve as NO: the general strike on Thursday, November 5, 2026, has not been canceled. On the contrary, the unions maintained their call and national media were still announcing the mobilization a few hours before the market deadline.
Source: lemonde.frKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 4%
- Predictions made
- 1,129
- Credits staked
- 40,897
- Comments
- 18
- Opened
- Nov 2, 2026
- Closes
- Nov 4, 2026
- Resolved
- Nov 5, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- lemonde.fr
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 18 comments
- 👽
Certainly not. The government is not backing down, and there are schools and universities that have planned online training in anticipation of the troubles that will occur on November 5.
- 👽
Because the state doesn't give anything up and they take us for fools.
- 🦊
No tangible reaction has been provided, there is no reason for the unions to stop this struggle now.
- 🦊
Clearly, the dynamic is shifting towards a comeback in the showdown.
- 🔥
Not at all
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