Will the US carry out additional military strikes in or directly over the Strait of Hormuz?

53%
-2% last 24h

67%
Stable · last 24h
YES if at any time during 5 December 2026 (UK local time 00:00:00–23:59:59) Sheffield City Council is explicitly governed by a Labour–Green administration, otherwise NO. • The administration must be described as Labour–Green in Sheffield City Council minutes or an official Sheffield City Council press release, or be reported as Labour–Green by two or more independent national or local news organisations. • If a party publicly and explicitly withdraws from the administration, if the council votes to replace the administration, if the council is formally dissolved or placed under special measures, or if the administration's status is ambiguous with no clear record or two-or-more-outlet reporting on 5 December 2026, the market resolves NO. • Source: Sheffield City Council minutes or an official Sheffield City Council press release, or two or more independent national or local news organisations.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Dec 5, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Dec 5, 2026. The outcome will be settled against bbc.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 67%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith 29 days to go, the Labour–Green coalition has solid standing. Recent support indicates they should maintain control through December 5.

53%
-2% last 24h

33%
Stable · last 24h

53%
Stable · last 24h

50%
-2% last 24h

10%
Stable · last 24h

43%
Stable · last 24h
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