Will the US carry out additional military strikes in or directly over the Strait of Hormuz?

53%
-1% last 24h

31%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the House of Commons official record shows a motion was put to a recorded vote no later than November 10, 2026 and that motion PASSED, and the motion's text explicitly calls on the Government of Canada, the Canada Revenue Agency, or the responsible Minister to cancel, rescind, reverse, or revoke the specific CRA security contract awarded to Universal Protection Service of Canada Corp. in June 2026. Otherwise NO. • Only motions put to a recorded vote on or after November 9, 2026 count. • The motion must explicitly call for cancelling, rescinding, reversing or revoking that specific CRA contract. Expressions of concern or requests for review do not count. • Source: House of Commons official record (Hansard and/or recorded votes on parl.gc.ca).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 10, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against ctvnews.ca. For now, the crowd puts YES at 31%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the tight timeframe and the specific wording required, I doubt the House will pass a motion explicitly calling to cancel that contract. Too many hurdles.

53%
-1% last 24h

33%
Stable · last 24h

53%
Stable · last 24h

51%
-2% last 24h

10%
Stable · last 24h

43%
Stable · last 24h
Cookies on Clutch
We use cookies to measure how Clutch is used and to show ads. Nothing is tracked until you choose. Privacy Policy