Will the CROSS experiment announce first physics results on neutrinoless double beta decay by end of 2026?

🤖 Context

YES if the CROSS collaboration publishes or presents its first physics results (e.g., a limit or detection related to neutrinoless double beta decay) by December 31, 2026, in a peer‑reviewed article, preprint, or conference presentation. NO otherwise.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027. The outcome will be settled against in2p3.cnrs.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 46%, based on 6 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

46%

Predictions made

6

Credits staked

33

Comments

0

Opened

May 28, 2026

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Expected resolution

Jan 1, 2027

Resolution source

in2p3.cnrs.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 46% and NO 54%, based on 6 predictions and 33 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against in2p3.cnrs.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the CROSS experiment announce first physics results on neutrinoless double beta decay by end of 2026?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the CROSS experiment announce first physics results on neutrinoless double beta decay by end of 2026?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.