Will tropical cyclone Karina reach Saffir‑Simpson Category 4 intensity?

🤖 Context

YES if, at any time no later than 12:00 UTC on September 3, 2026, an operational advisory from the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC), the U.S. Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), or the official meteorological service for the basin explicitly states that the tropical cyclone named Karina reached Saffir‑Simpson Category 4 intensity. Advisories that use a different name count only if they explicitly identify the system as the continuation of Karina, and operational post‑season reanalyses published after that time do not count. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 3, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 3, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 38%, based on 57 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

38%

Predictions made

57

Credits staked

1,581

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 31, 2026

Closes

Sep 3, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 3, 2026

Resolution source

efe.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 3, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 3, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 38% and NO 62%, based on 57 predictions and 1.6K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against efe.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will tropical cyclone Karina reach Saffir‑Simpson Category 4 intensity?” real-money betting?

No. “Will tropical cyclone Karina reach Saffir‑Simpson Category 4 intensity?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.