🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Nov 11
Will the US carry out additional military strikes in or directly over the Strait of Hormuz?
53%
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PoliticsOpened Sep 14 · Results Sep 17
Will the centre‑left/left‑green bloc (Social Democrats, Left Party, Centre Party, Greens) have at least 175 of 349 seats in Sweden's 2026 parliament?
86%
Stable · last 24h
📊 409 bettors💎 12.7K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 17🤖 Context
The market required that the Swedish Election Authority's official final seat allocation, as published by authoritative news outlets, show Socialdemokraterna, Vänsterpartiet, Centerpartiet and Miljöpartiet holding at least 175 of the 349 seats. The official allocation lists Socialdemokraterna 99, Vänsterpartiet 30, Centerpartiet 25 and Miljöpartiet 22, which totals 176 seats. Because 176 is at least 175, the condition is met and the outcome is yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes86%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 86% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The official final distribution lists S 99, V 30, C 25 and MP 22 seats. Together they hold 99+30+25+22 = 176 seats, which is at least 175 of 349.
Source: riksdagen.seKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 86%
- Predictions made
- 409
- Credits staked
- 12,688
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Sep 14, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 16, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 21, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- riksdagen.se, politico.eu
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 2 comments
- 🔥
This is the only solution to avoid a political crisis.
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
Given the current political landscape and recent polling trends, it's quite likely this coalition will reach 175 seats. They have a solid support base and a few days left to secure it.
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