Will the CDU publicly name a woman as its official nominee for Federal President?

🤖 Context

YES if the CDU publicly announced and named a woman as its official nominee for Federal President (Bundespräsident) no later than November 16, 2026, otherwise NO. • Only announcements published on or after November 5, 2026 count. • Publicly announced and named means an on-the-record CDU statement (press conference, press release, official party social post, or an on-the-record quote from Friedrich Merz or an official CDU spokesperson) that includes the person's name. • Source: reports from at least two independent major news outlets.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 17, 2026. The outcome will be settled against spiegel.de. For now, the crowd puts YES at 75%, based on 20 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

75%

Predictions made

20

Credits staked

1,409

Comments

1

Opened

Nov 5, 2026

Closes

Nov 16, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 17, 2026

Resolution source

spiegel.de

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 16, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 17, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 75% and NO 25%, based on 20 predictions and 1.4K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against spiegel.de once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the CDU publicly name a woman as its official nominee for Federal President?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the CDU publicly name a woman as its official nominee for Federal President?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.