Will the Atlantic basin get its first hurricane (Category 1 or stronger) of the 2026 season?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than October 1, 2026, an operational tropical cyclone public advisory classifies any tropical cyclone in the Atlantic basin as a hurricane (Saffir‑Simpson Category 1 or stronger). Otherwise NO. Primary sources are National Hurricane Center public advisories or the NHC Tropical Cyclone Report, with corroboration acceptable from major news agencies or other national meteorological services.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 2, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 32%, based on 118 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

32%

Predictions made

118

Credits staked

2,620

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 17, 2026

Closes

Oct 2, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 2, 2026

Resolution source

foxweather.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 2, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 2, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 32% and NO 68%, based on 118 predictions and 2.6K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against foxweather.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the Atlantic basin get its first hurricane (Category 1 or stronger) of the 2026 season?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the Atlantic basin get its first hurricane (Category 1 or stronger) of the 2026 season?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.