🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Sep 25 · Results Sep 30
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet Donald Trump in person in New York?
74%
+7% last 24h
359 bets · 10.3K credits2
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PoliticsOpened Sep 13 · Results Sep 14
Will the AfD finish first in the Mecklenburg‑Vorpommern Landtag election on September 14?
53%
Stable · last 24h
📊 172 bettors💎 2.9K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 14🤖 Context
YES if the official provisional or final vote tally for the Mecklenburg‑Vorpommern Landtag election on September 14, 2026, published by the state's election authority or reported by at least two independent national or regional news organisations, shows the AfD received a strictly larger percentage of valid party votes than any other party (i.e., finished first). If two parties tie for the highest percentage in the official count, the market resolves NO. Preliminary counts reported by at least two independent outlets are acceptable; the state's official results are preferred.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes53%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 53% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 53%
- Predictions made
- 172
- Credits staked
- 2,861
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Sep 13, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 14, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 23, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
Given that the election is tomorrow and the AfD has been leading in recent polls, it seems likely they will take the most valid votes. Expect a clear first place.
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