🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Nov 11
Will the US carry out additional military strikes in or directly over the Strait of Hormuz?
53%
-1% last 24h
1600 bets · 48.1K credits20
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PoliticsOpened Sep 14 · Results Oct 16
Will Sven Schulze stop serving as CDU state chair in Saxony‑Anhalt?
57%
Stable · last 24h
📊 438 bettors💎 10.1K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Oct 16🤖 Context
YES if, no later than October 15, 2026, at least two independent regional or national news outlets report that Sven Schulze is no longer serving as the CDU's state chairman in Saxony‑Anhalt because he resigned, was removed, or the party formally elected and installed a named replacement. A temporary leave or a suspension without a formal replacement does not count. A CDU Sachsen‑Anhalt press release or the party's official website can serve as sufficient reporting, and ordinary reporting by two or more independent outlets is also acceptable.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No57%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 57% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: NO. As of October 16, 2026, at 10:00 UTC, Sven Schulze had neither resigned nor been removed from the regional presidency of the CDU of Saxony-Anhalt, and no replacement had been elected or installed. He had only announced his intention to step down, while Sepp Müller declared himself a candidate for an election scheduled for December.
Source: zeit.deKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 57%
- Predictions made
- 438
- Credits staked
- 10,055
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Sep 14, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 15, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 16, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- zeit.de
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
Given the current environment around party leadership and the scrutiny on Schulze, it's likely we'll see credible reports of a replacement by the deadline. I'm betting on a YES here.
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