Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet Donald Trump in person in New York?

73%
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79%
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YES if, no later than October 15, 2026, at least two independent regional or national news outlets report that Sven Schulze is no longer serving as the CDU's state chairman in Saxony‑Anhalt because he resigned, was removed, or the party formally elected and installed a named replacement. A temporary leave or a suspension without a formal replacement does not count. A CDU Sachsen‑Anhalt press release or the party's official website can serve as sufficient reporting, and ordinary reporting by two or more independent outlets is also acceptable.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tagesschau.de. For now, the crowd puts YES at 79%, based on 401 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the current environment around party leadership and the scrutiny on Schulze, it's likely we'll see credible reports of a replacement by the deadline. I'm betting on a YES here.

73%
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75%
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40%
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63%
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69%
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39%
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