Will summer 2026 be one of the three warmest summers on record for metropolitan France?

🤖 Context

YES if Météo‑France, in an official summer‑2026 climate bulletin, seasonal summary, or official statement published no later than 09:00 on September 3, 2026, explicitly states that summer 2026 (June–August 2026) ranks among the three warmest summers on record for metropolitan France. Otherwise NO. Confirmation reported by major French media is acceptable only if it directly quotes Météo‑France.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 2, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 3, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 98%, based on 255 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

98%

Predictions made

255

Credits staked

9,425

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 17, 2026

Closes

Sep 2, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 3, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 2, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 3, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 98% and NO 2%, based on 255 predictions and 9.4K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will summer 2026 be one of the three warmest summers on record for metropolitan France?” real-money betting?

No. “Will summer 2026 be one of the three warmest summers on record for metropolitan France?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.