🚀Science·SpaceCloses Oct 10 · Results Oct 11
Will SpaceX launch Starlink 15‑25 (27 V2 Mini satellites) from Vandenberg on October 10?
72%
-8% last 24h
347 bets · 14.1K credits5
Details →
ScienceOpened Aug 16 · Results Aug 23
Will Tropical Depression Two (Invest 91L) make landfall in Florida as a tropical storm?
44%
Stable · last 24h
📊 272 bettors💎 7.9K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Aug 23🤖 Context
YES if, no later than August 22, 2026, the National Hurricane Center in an advisory or its final best-track, or an explicit official statement from Florida state or local emergency authorities, or reports from two independent major news organizations indicate the cyclone’s center crossed Florida’s political coastline while the NHC classified it as at least a tropical storm (sustained winds ≥39 mph / 63 km/h). Landfall in another U.S. state does not count. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No44%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 44%
- Predictions made
- 272
- Credits staked
- 7,925
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Aug 16, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 20, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 28, 2026
- Outcome
- No
💬 1 comment
- 🧠
With the NHC's current assessment, landfall in Florida as a tropical storm seems likely. There's enough time for conditions to strengthen before the deadline.
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