Will Amazon Leo have 400 or more satellites in orbit by Aug 31, 2026?

72%
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31%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, on or before August 18, 2026, official forecasts or advisories show the system upgraded to a tropical storm and called "Tropical Storm Bertha". The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is the preferred source and the name appearing as "Tropical Storm Bertha" in NHC operational advisories or in the NHC Tropical Cyclone Report resolves YES. Naming reported by major wire services (AP, Reuters) or NOAA releases also counts. If the NHC assigns the name retroactively in its best-track, that also resolves YES. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 17, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 19, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 31%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith only a few days left and Tropical Depression Two still developing, it's likely to be named Bertha before the deadline. The NHC tends to act fast on these systems when conditions are right.

72%
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46%
Stable · last 24h

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31%
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45%
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