Will tropical cyclone Cristóbal make landfall?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than 12:00 on August 19, 2026, authoritative operational advisories or major news reports state that the centre of the tropical cyclone named Cristóbal in the EFE article published on 12 August 2026 crossed the coastline of any landmass. Authoritative sources include operational advisories from recognized Atlantic tropical‑cyclone warning centres such as the U.S. National Hurricane Center or the meteorological service of the country where landfall is reported, and corroboration by major international news outlets like Reuters, AP, BBC or EFE. Coastal impacts alone, such as storm surge or high winds, do not count unless an authoritative source reports the cyclone's centre actually made landfall.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 19, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 19, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 37%, based on 23 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

37%

Predictions made

23

Credits staked

504

Comments

0

Opened

Aug 12, 2026

Closes

Aug 19, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 19, 2026

Resolution source

efe.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 19, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 19, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 37% and NO 63%, based on 23 predictions and 504 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against efe.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will tropical cyclone Cristóbal make landfall?” real-money betting?

No. “Will tropical cyclone Cristóbal make landfall?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.