Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the PS–Place publique primary?

🤖 Context

YES if the official result publicly declared by the organisers of the PS–Place publique primary for the contest held on 9–10 October 2026 names Raphaël Glucksmann as the sole winner, otherwise NO. • The deciding declaration must be an explicit, on-the-record public statement by the primary organisers (Parti Socialiste and Place publique). • If the organisers declare a tie or name multiple winners, the market is YES only if Raphaël Glucksmann is named as the sole winner. If the primary is cancelled or no winner is declared by the resolution date, the market resolves NO. • Source: The organisers of the PS–Place publique primary (Parti Socialiste and Place publique).

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 10, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 76%, based on 373 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

76%

Predictions made

373

Credits staked

13,468

Comments

3

Opened

Oct 4, 2026

Closes

Oct 9, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 10, 2026

Resolution source

franceinfo.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 9, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 10, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 76% and NO 24%, based on 373 predictions and 13.5K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against franceinfo.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the PS–Place publique primary?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the PS–Place publique primary?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.