Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the PS–Place publique primary?

🤖 Context

YES if Raphaël Glucksmann is publicly declared the sole winner of the PS–Place publique primary on or after the final voting weekend of 16–17 October 2026, otherwise NO. • A tie or any announcement naming co-winners with no single candidate declared resolves NO. • Source: the primary’s organising commission or the Parti socialiste. Official reports from agencies and major national outlets (AFP, Franceinfo, Le Monde) are admissible corroboration.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 17, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 55%, based on 244 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

55%

Predictions made

244

Credits staked

10,005

Comments

3

Opened

Sep 26, 2026

Closes

Oct 9, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 17, 2026

Resolution source

franceinfo.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 9, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 17, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 55% and NO 45%, based on 244 predictions and 10K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against franceinfo.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the PS–Place publique primary?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the PS–Place publique primary?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.