Will one of Karin Prien, Julia Klöckner, Annegret Kramp‑Karrenbauer, or Boris Rhein be publicly named as the CDU's official nominee for Bundespräsident?

🤖 Context

YES if, on or after October 28, 2026 at 20:32 UTC and no later than December 31, 2026, the CDU publicly names by full name one of Karin Prien, Julia Klöckner, Annegret Kramp‑Karrenbauer, or Boris Rhein and states that that person is the CDU's official nominee for Bundespräsident. Otherwise NO. • The announcement must explicitly name one of these four people and say they are the CDU's official nominee; shortlists or speculative comments do not count. • Acceptable evidence: a CDU federal executive‑board press release or an explicit on‑the‑record statement by CDU chair Friedrich Merz, or credible reporting by at least two independent national German news outlets. • Source: CDU press release or reporting by at least two independent national German news outlets.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027. The outcome will be settled against tagesschau.de. For now, the crowd puts YES at 67%, based on 1 prediction.

Key facts

Crowd probability

67%

Predictions made

1

Credits staked

1

Comments

1

Opened

Oct 28, 2026

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Expected resolution

Jan 1, 2027

Resolution source

tagesschau.de

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 67% and NO 33%, based on 1 prediction and 1 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tagesschau.de once the outcome is known.

Is “Will one of Karin Prien, Julia Klöckner, Annegret Kramp‑Karrenbauer, or Boris Rhein be publicly named as the CDU's official nominee for Bundespräsident?” real-money betting?

No. “Will one of Karin Prien, Julia Klöckner, Annegret Kramp‑Karrenbauer, or Boris Rhein be publicly named as the CDU's official nominee for Bundespräsident?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.