Will Lars Klingbeil be elected SPD federal chair on January 16–17?

🤖 Context

YES if the official results of the SPD Bundesparteitag held 16–17 January 2027 in Bremen show that Lars Klingbeil was elected by the delegates as federal chair, either alone or as one member of a duly elected two-person 'Doppelspitze', otherwise NO. • If Klingbeil was not on the ballot this market resolves NO. • If the congress is postponed or rescheduled the market resolves on the official result once it is published. If the congress is cancelled with no new date the market resolves NO. • Source: SPD published congress results and at least two independent German news outlets (e.g. Tagesschau).

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Jan 15, 2027, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 17, 2027. The outcome will be settled against tagesschau.de. For now, the crowd puts YES at 67%, based on 0 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

67%

Predictions made

0

Credits staked

0

Comments

1

Opened

Oct 31, 2026

Closes

Jan 15, 2027

Expected resolution

Jan 17, 2027

Resolution source

tagesschau.de

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Jan 15, 2027, and it's expected to resolve on Jan 17, 2027.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 67% and NO 33%, based on 0 predictions and 0 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tagesschau.de once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Lars Klingbeil be elected SPD federal chair on January 16–17?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Lars Klingbeil be elected SPD federal chair on January 16–17?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.