Will Russia and Ukraine both publicly accept a bilateral energy ceasefire that suspends attacks on energy infrastructure?

🤖 Context

YES if both Russia and Ukraine each issue an on-the-record written or spoken statement between 20:31 UTC on October 11, 2026 and no later than October 18, 2026, explicitly accepting a bilateral "energy ceasefire" that commits both sides to suspend attacks on energy infrastructure. Otherwise NO. • Each acceptance must be a written or spoken on-the-record statement by the country's national government that clearly expresses acceptance or agreement to a ceasefire covering energy infrastructure (for example "we accept/agree to a ceasefire" or "we will suspend attacks on energy infrastructure"). • Credible reporting by two or more independent major news organizations that cite those on-the-record government statements is sufficient to resolve YES. • Source: On-the-record statements from the national governments of Russia and Ukraine. Credible reporting by two or more independent major news organizations that cite those statements is also acceptable.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 18, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 19, 2026. The outcome will be settled against apnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 22%, based on 1456 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

22%

Predictions made

1,456

Credits staked

47,549

Comments

32

Opened

Oct 11, 2026

Closes

Oct 18, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 19, 2026

Resolution source

apnews.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 18, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 19, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 22% and NO 78%, based on 1456 predictions and 47.5K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against apnews.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Russia and Ukraine both publicly accept a bilateral energy ceasefire that suspends attacks on energy infrastructure?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Russia and Ukraine both publicly accept a bilateral energy ceasefire that suspends attacks on energy infrastructure?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.