🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 30 · Results Oct 31
Will a public protest or march take place in Paris on October 31?
95%
Stable · last 24h
911 bets · 34.7K credits16
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PoliticsOpened Sep 13 · Results Sep 30
Will the US carry out direct kinetic strikes on Houthi‑controlled military targets in Yemen?
41%
Stable · last 24h
📊 275 bettors💎 8.3K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Sep 30🤖 Context
YES if, no later than September 30, 2026, credible reporting by at least two independent, authoritative news outlets (for example Reuters, Associated Press, or the BBC) states that the U.S. Department of Defense or U.S. Central Command carried out direct kinetic strikes (airstrikes, missile strikes, or other fires executed by U.S. forces) against Houthi‑controlled military targets in Yemen. Reports that describe strikes carried out solely by partner states (for example Saudi Arabia or the UAE) do not meet the condition. Preferably this is supported by an official DoD or USCENTCOM statement. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No41%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 59% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Two sources, one says that President Trump canceled the planned strikes, the second indicates that strikes did occur but were not conducted by the United States of America, so the market resolves to no.
Source: criticalthreats.orgKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 41%
- Predictions made
- 275
- Credits staked
- 8,329
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Sep 13, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 30, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 1, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- criticalthreats.org
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
Given the current tensions and ongoing U.S. interests in the region, I believe we will indeed see direct strikes against Houthi targets before the deadline.
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