Will Xi Jinping and Donald Trump meet face-to-face?

40%
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61%
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YES if, no later than September 20, 2026, either Saudi state authorities or the pipeline operator publicly state that the East–West pipeline section hit in the drone attack has resumed commercial oil flows, or two or more independent authoritative news organisations report the same, for example Reuters, AP, Bloomberg, BBC or Al Jazeera. Routine tests, inspections, or statements that only mention partial or testing flows do not count. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 21, 2026. The outcome will be settled against bbc.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 61%, based on 31 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the tight timeline, it's unlikely that there will be a clear public declaration of resumed commercial flows from either Saudi officials or credible news outlets. I'm betting NO.

40%
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40%
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31%
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72%
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58%
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36%
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