Will Iran publicly announce a new maritime 'exclusion zone' covering part of the Strait of Hormuz?

🤖 Context

YES if no later than September 14, 2026 two or more independent international news organizations (for example AP, Reuters, BBC) credibly report that an official Iranian body (the Government of Iran, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Iranian Armed Forces/IRGC, or an official Iranian state news agency such as IRNA/Tasnim) publicly announced a maritime "exclusion zone" or "no-go" zone covering any portion of the Strait of Hormuz. An announcement can use the words "exclusion zone"/"no-go zone" or define a restricted area by geographic coordinates or named locations. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 14, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 14, 2026. The outcome will be settled against apnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 67%, based on 9 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

67%

Predictions made

9

Credits staked

240

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 7, 2026

Closes

Sep 14, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 14, 2026

Resolution source

apnews.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 14, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 14, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 67% and NO 33%, based on 9 predictions and 240 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against apnews.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Iran publicly announce a new maritime 'exclusion zone' covering part of the Strait of Hormuz?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Iran publicly announce a new maritime 'exclusion zone' covering part of the Strait of Hormuz?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.