Will Iran publicly accept the U.S. response to its latest offer to end the war?

12%
Stable · last 24h

52%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, no later than December 31, 2026, two or more independent authoritative news outlets report that the Bundestag passed the final legislative text in a plenary (final) vote that creates explicit administrative fines or monetary penalties for breaches of the Mietpreisbremse. Committee approvals, draft texts, or non‑binding resolutions do not count. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Dec 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027. The outcome will be settled against tagesschau.de. For now, the crowd puts YES at 52%, based on 457 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the current political landscape and ongoing discussions about rental regulations, it's likely that the Bundestag will pass these fines before year-end. Expect multiple outlets to report on it.

12%
Stable · last 24h

60%
-7% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h

11%
Stable · last 24h

46%
Stable · last 24h
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