Will federal criminal charges allege crimes tied to recruiting Daniel J. Sullivan into the Alaska U.S. Senate race?

🤖 Context

YES if a federal criminal charging document — an indictment, criminal complaint, or information — that names or explicitly alleges crimes connected to the reported recruitment of Daniel J. Sullivan into the Alaska U.S. Senate race is filed and publicly posted (or announced in a Department of Justice or U.S. Attorney press release) on or after October 29, 2026 and no later than November 30, 2026, otherwise NO. • The filing must be a federal indictment, criminal complaint, or information that names or explicitly alleges crimes connected to the reported recruitment of Daniel J. Sullivan into the Alaska U.S. Senate race. • Sealed filings count only once they are publicly unsealed or announced. Civil, administrative, or state-level charges do not count. • Source: U.S. Department of Justice or the U.S. federal court docket.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Dec 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Dec 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against abcnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 47%, based on 4 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

47%

Predictions made

4

Credits staked

226

Comments

1

Opened

Oct 29, 2026

Closes

Dec 1, 2026

Expected resolution

Dec 1, 2026

Resolution source

abcnews.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Dec 1, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Dec 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 47% and NO 53%, based on 4 predictions and 226 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against abcnews.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will federal criminal charges allege crimes tied to recruiting Daniel J. Sullivan into the Alaska U.S. Senate race?” real-money betting?

No. “Will federal criminal charges allege crimes tied to recruiting Daniel J. Sullivan into the Alaska U.S. Senate race?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.