Will the US carry out additional military strikes in or directly over the Strait of Hormuz?

53%
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93%
Stable · last 24h
Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Results Nov 10YES if, on the calendar date November 10, 2026 (France local time), credible reporting by two or more independent national news outlets states that education staff in France (teachers, school personnel and/or higher-education staff) carried out organised strike action on that date and that the action is reported as being called by the intersyndicale of the Éducation nationale and of higher education and research or by one or more national education unions. Otherwise NO. • Organised strike action means documented work stoppages, pickets, mass absences, or school or university closures on that date. • Reporting that a strike was announced but was cancelled or postponed before any work stoppage took place resolves NO. • Source: two or more independent national news outlets.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 10, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 10, 2026. The outcome will be settled against bfmtv.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 93%, based on 458 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the current climate and the difficulties teachers are facing, it's quite possible.
Yes
Given the current events, I think so.
Given the recent calls for action and the historical context of strikes in the education sector, it's very likely we will see organized strike actions reported by at least two credible outlets.

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53%
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51%
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10%
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