Will COP31 adopt a final decision that sets a global 35% electrification target for industry and households by 2035?

🤖 Context

YES if the final adopted COP31 decision text contains an explicit numeric global electrification target of "35% by 2035" for industry and household energy use and attributes that target to the COP31 decision, otherwise NO. • Only texts and news reports published on or after November 12, 2026 count. • The decision must be adopted no later than 12:00 on November 23, 2026, local time in Antalya. • Source: the COP31 decision text (UNFCCC) and reporting by two or more independent authoritative news outlets.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tagesschau.de. For now, the crowd puts YES at 24%, based on 108 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

24%

Predictions made

108

Credits staked

3,300

Comments

3

Opened

Nov 12, 2026

Closes

Nov 22, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 23, 2026

Resolution source

tagesschau.de

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 22, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 23, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 24% and NO 76%, based on 108 predictions and 3.3K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tagesschau.de once the outcome is known.

Is “Will COP31 adopt a final decision that sets a global 35% electrification target for industry and households by 2035?” real-money betting?

No. “Will COP31 adopt a final decision that sets a global 35% electrification target for industry and households by 2035?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.