Will the US carry out additional military strikes in or directly over the Strait of Hormuz?

53%
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53%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Oct 16YES if, no later than October 15, 2026, E.DIS or the relevant municipal/regional building authority publishes a formal, binding decision (a press release, a published grid‑connection approval document, or a published building permit/permit‑register entry) stating it has granted a grid‑connection approval or a building permit for at least one battery storage installation described as a “Großspeicher” or of several megawatts located within the Mecklenburgische Seenplatte. Corroborating regional reporting (for example NDR or Tagesschau) may be used as supporting evidence. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settled53%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 53% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: The article from September 17, 2026, indicates that E.DIS had received about 400 connection requests for several megawatt batteries and had already accepted some projects. However, it does not prove that a new connection authorization or building permit was officially published between September 19 and October 15, 2026, as required by the bet.
Source: tagesschau.deSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the growing focus on renewable energy, it's likely a grid-connection or building permit will be issued soon. The timeline is tight, but significant pressure exists for approvals in this sector.

53%
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33%
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53%
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50%
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10%
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43%
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