Will anywhere in Germany reach at least 30 °C on October 1?

🤖 Context

YES if at least one publicly reported ground-based meteorological station located within Germany records a daily maximum temperature ≥ 30.0 °C for the local calendar day October 1, 2026, i.e., between 00:00 and 23:59:59 CEST (UTC+02:00). The preferred authoritative source is Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) daily station observations (Stationswerte). Other independent public reports that name a specific station and the measured value may be used as corroboration. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against wetter.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 44%, based on 402 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

44%

Predictions made

402

Credits staked

7,894

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 18, 2026

Closes

Sep 30, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 2, 2026

Resolution source

wetter.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 30, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 2, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 44% and NO 56%, based on 402 predictions and 7.9K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against wetter.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will anywhere in Germany reach at least 30 °C on October 1?” real-money betting?

No. “Will anywhere in Germany reach at least 30 °C on October 1?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.