🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 26
Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?
32%
Stable · last 24h
996 bets · 34.7K credits13
Details →
PoliticsOpened Sep 4 · Results Oct 2
Will any U.S. state file a federal lawsuit challenging the Justice Department guidance requiring states to report undocumented immigrants to DHS?
28%
Stable · last 24h
📊 413 bettors💎 7.8K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Oct 2🤖 Context
YES if, no later than October 1, 2026, two or more independent major news outlets report that one or more U.S. states filed a federal lawsuit (a complaint formally filed in any U.S. District Court docket) seeking to challenge the Justice Department guidance described in the San.com article. A federal court docket entry or an official state attorney general complaint or press release may be used as a pointer, but ordinary reporting by major outlets is sufficient. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No28%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 72% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The answer is NO: no U.S. state has filed a federal complaint to contest this specific directive before the deadline set.
Source: san.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 28%
- Predictions made
- 413
- Credits staked
- 7,809
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Sep 4, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 30, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 3, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- san.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
Given the growing tensions around immigration policies, it's likely that at least one state will take action. Just look at the history of lawsuits in this area.
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