Will Algeria restore the death penalty for people who deliberately set wildfires?

69%
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46%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, no later than October 1, 2026, two or more independent major news outlets report that one or more U.S. states filed a federal lawsuit (a complaint formally filed in any U.S. District Court docket) seeking to challenge the Justice Department guidance described in the San.com article. A federal court docket entry or an official state attorney general complaint or press release may be used as a pointer, but ordinary reporting by major outlets is sufficient. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against san.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 46%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the growing tensions around immigration policies, it's likely that at least one state will take action. Just look at the history of lawsuits in this area.

69%
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29%
Stable · last 24h

38%
Stable · last 24h

34%
Stable · last 24h

48%
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32%
Stable · last 24h
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