Will any commune in Hérault be covered by an 'arrêté préfectoral' (prefectural order) banning non‑priority water uses?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than August 22, 2026, any commune in Hérault is covered by a prefectural arrêté that explicitly prohibits non‑priority water uses. Proof can be a prefectural arrêté published by the Hérault prefecture, Propluvia showing any part of Hérault under a restriction level whose official text prohibits non‑priority uses, or two or more independent authoritative news outlets reporting the prefecture issued such an arrêté. Municipal advisories or general appeals to save water that are not an arrêté and are not listed on Propluvia do not count, and an arrêté issued and later revoked still counts if it was issued on or before the deadline.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 68%, based on 38 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

68%

Predictions made

38

Credits staked

813

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 15, 2026

Closes

Aug 22, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 23, 2026

Resolution source

franceinfo.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 23, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 68% and NO 32%, based on 38 predictions and 813 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against franceinfo.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any commune in Hérault be covered by an 'arrêté préfectoral' (prefectural order) banning non‑priority water uses?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any commune in Hérault be covered by an 'arrêté préfectoral' (prefectural order) banning non‑priority water uses?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.