Will Tropical Storm Moke make landfall on Hawaii's Big Island?

🤖 Context

YES if the centre of Tropical Storm Moke crossed the coastline of the Island of Hawaii (the Big Island) at any time no later than 00:00 on August 26, 2026, Hawaii time, according to the official public record (for example an NHC or Central Pacific Hurricane Center advisory, an NHC/CPHC landfall statement, or the agencies' final best-track/Tropical Cyclone Report) or contemporaneous national/local news quoting those agencies. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 26, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 31%, based on 2 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

31%

Predictions made

2

Credits staked

120

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 22, 2026

Closes

Aug 22, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 26, 2026

Resolution source

foxweather.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 22, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 26, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 31% and NO 69%, based on 2 predictions and 120 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against foxweather.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Tropical Storm Moke make landfall on Hawaii's Big Island?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Tropical Storm Moke make landfall on Hawaii's Big Island?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.