Will any area in Spain have an 'aviso naranja' (orange warning) or 'aviso rojo' (red warning) for thunderstorms on September 9?

🤖 Context

YES if, according to AEMET's Meteoalerta archived warnings for September 9, 2026, at least one area of Spain was assigned an aviso nivel naranja or aviso rojo for thunderstorms at any time during the local calendar date September 9, 2026, even if AEMET later amended those warnings on that same date. Only warnings for the hazard 'thunderstorms' (tormentas) count. If the only naranja/red entries are for areas outside the Kingdom of Spain, the market resolves NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 8, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 10, 2026. The outcome will be settled against aemet.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 73%, based on 19 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

73%

Predictions made

19

Credits staked

660

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 8, 2026

Closes

Sep 8, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 10, 2026

Resolution source

aemet.es

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 8, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 10, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 73% and NO 27%, based on 19 predictions and 660 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against aemet.es once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any area in Spain have an 'aviso naranja' (orange warning) or 'aviso rojo' (red warning) for thunderstorms on September 9?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any area in Spain have an 'aviso naranja' (orange warning) or 'aviso rojo' (red warning) for thunderstorms on September 9?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.