Will Hurricane Lowell make landfall on any main Hawaiian island at Category 3 or higher?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than September 10, 2026, the cyclone designated "Lowell" by the National Hurricane Center has its center cross the coastline of any of these main Hawaiian islands: Niʻihau, Kauaʻi, Oʻahu, Molokaʻi, Lānaʻi, Maui, or Hawaiʻi, and the contemporaneous NHC advisory records the system's maximum sustained winds at the time of that crossing as Saffir–Simpson Category 3 or higher (at least 111 mph). Otherwise NO. The outcome will be determined according to National Hurricane Center advisories, with the National Weather Service or two independent major news organizations acceptable as corroboration, and the NHC advisory at the time of crossing deciding in case of conflicting contemporaneous reports.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 10, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 63%, based on 2 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

63%

Predictions made

2

Credits staked

20

Comments

2

Opened

Sep 7, 2026

Closes

Sep 10, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 11, 2026

Resolution source

foxweather.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 10, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 11, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 63% and NO 37%, based on 2 predictions and 20 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against foxweather.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Hurricane Lowell make landfall on any main Hawaiian island at Category 3 or higher?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Hurricane Lowell make landfall on any main Hawaiian island at Category 3 or higher?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.