Will Vega-C VV30 lift off from Kourou and begin ascent?

🤖 Context

YES if the Vega-C vehicle designated VV30 departs the launch pad at Europe's Spaceport in Kourou and clears the pad at any time between 00:51 UTC and 01:51 UTC on 15 September 2026. Aborted engine starts or holds that do not result in pad departure are NO. Preferred resolution sources are Arianespace or ESA/Avio, though mainstream reporting such as Spaceflight Now, Reuters or AP is also acceptable evidence.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 15, 2026. The outcome will be settled against spaceflightnow.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 75%, based on 30 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

75%

Predictions made

30

Credits staked

855

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 7, 2026

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 15, 2026

Resolution source

spaceflightnow.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 15, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 75% and NO 25%, based on 30 predictions and 855 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against spaceflightnow.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Vega-C VV30 lift off from Kourou and begin ascent?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Vega-C VV30 lift off from Kourou and begin ascent?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.