Will a SpaceX Falcon 9 carrying USSF-153 lift off from SLC-4E at Vandenberg on September 10?

🤖 Context

YES if a Falcon 9 identified as the vehicle for USSF-153 departs SLC-4E at Vandenberg and begins ascent on September 10, 2026 (local Vandenberg date). Aborted engine starts or holds that do not result in the vehicle clearing the pad count as NO. Resolution will rely on reports from the U.S. Space Force or SpaceX, or standard news reporting such as Spaceflight Now, Reuters, or AP.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 10, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 10, 2026. The outcome will be settled against spaceflightnow.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 76%, based on 22 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

76%

Predictions made

22

Credits staked

584

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 7, 2026

Closes

Sep 10, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 10, 2026

Resolution source

spaceflightnow.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 10, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 10, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 76% and NO 24%, based on 22 predictions and 584 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against spaceflightnow.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will a SpaceX Falcon 9 carrying USSF-153 lift off from SLC-4E at Vandenberg on September 10?” real-money betting?

No. “Will a SpaceX Falcon 9 carrying USSF-153 lift off from SLC-4E at Vandenberg on September 10?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.