Will a thunderstorm be observed in Auvergne or the French Alps on September 9?

🤖 Context

YES if, during September 9, 2026 (from 00:00 to 23:59:59, French local time), either Météo‑France’s public observations or daily synthesis record convective thunderstorm activity (documented lightning strikes or an observation explicitly labelled 'orage') in an area described as 'Auvergne' or the French Alps, or at least two independent mainstream French news outlets publish reports that a thunderstorm occurred in 'Auvergne' or 'the Alps' on that date. Otherwise NO. Preferred authoritative source is Météo‑France, equivalent reporting by mainstream national outlets (for example TF1, AFP, Le Monde, FranceInfo) is admissible, and unverified social‑media posts alone do not count.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 8, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 10, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 83%, based on 57 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

83%

Predictions made

57

Credits staked

2,082

Comments

0

Opened

Sep 8, 2026

Closes

Sep 8, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 10, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 8, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 10, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 83% and NO 17%, based on 57 predictions and 2.1K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will a thunderstorm be observed in Auvergne or the French Alps on September 9?” real-money betting?

No. “Will a thunderstorm be observed in Auvergne or the French Alps on September 9?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.