Will the Soyuz 2.1b carrying Progress MS‑35 lift off from Baikonur Site 31/6 on September 9?

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YES if, no later than September 9, 2026, the National Weather Service (local office), the NWS Storm Events Database, or a Kaua'i County emergency management official issues an official confirmation that at least one tornado touched down in Kaua'i County and was attributed to Hurricane Lowell. Reports labeled “possible” or “unconfirmed” do not count. Waterspouts that did not make landfall inside Kaua'i County do not count. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 59%, based on 2 predictions.
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