Will the Soyuz 2.1b carrying Progress MS‑35 lift off from Baikonur Site 31/6 on September 9?

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YES if, on or before 02:00 HST on September 10, 2026 (12:00 UTC on September 10, 2026), an official National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisory or an official NOAA/NWS statement shows Lowell is no longer classified as a hurricane. That means the advisory lists Lowell as a Tropical Storm, Post-tropical Cyclone, Remnant Low, or explicitly reports maximum sustained winds below 74 mph. Official releases by local National Weather Service offices or reporting by major U.S. news outlets quoting NHC/NWS are acceptable supporting evidence. If the NHC discontinues advisories because the system dissipated, that counts as YES only if the NHC states the system no longer met tropical cyclone or hurricane criteria. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 10, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 10, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 54%, based on 0 predictions.
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