Will the US carry out additional military strikes in or directly over the Strait of Hormuz?

53%
-1% last 24h

46%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Sherrod Brown's reported top-line support percentage is strictly greater than Jon Husted's in the single most recently published public poll for the Ohio U.S. Senate race with a publication date no later than 11:59:59 PM Eastern Time on November 15, 2026. Otherwise NO. • Only the single most recently published public poll counts. If multiple polls are tied as most recent by publication date on or before that cutoff, the poll with the later fieldwork end date breaks ties and if still tied the poll with the larger sample size decides. • If the selected poll reports identical top-line percentages for Brown and Husted or does not report separate candidate percentages, the market resolves NO. • Prefer VoteHub's Ohio Senate poll listing but a pollster's published poll page or mainstream reporting is acceptable. • Source: VoteHub
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against votehub.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 46%, based on 32 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the latest poll shows Brown and Husted tied at 47%, it’s hard to see Brown pulling ahead. The market will likely resolve NO based on that data.

53%
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33%
Stable · last 24h

53%
Stable · last 24h

51%
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10%
Stable · last 24h

43%
Stable · last 24h
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