Will the US carry out additional military strikes in or directly over the Strait of Hormuz?

53%
-1% last 24h

75%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the most recently published public poll of the Ohio U.S. Senate race that reports separate numeric percentages for both Sherrod Brown and Jon Husted and that is publicly available no later than 00:00 (UTC-4) on November 13, 2026 shows Sherrod Brown's reported percentage is strictly greater than Jon Husted's. Otherwise NO. • Only polls that publish separate numeric percentages for both named candidates are eligible. • If two eligible polls share the same publication datetime, tie-breakers are: later fieldwork end date, then larger sample size, then the poll listed first on VoteHub. • If the selected poll reports equal percentages, or if a poll used for settlement is corrected or retracted before resolution, that poll is ignored and the next most-recent eligible poll is used. • Source: VoteHub.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against votehub.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 75%, based on 6 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the current tie at 47%, it's unlikely Brown will be ahead in the next poll. Unless he shows distinct movement, expect him to stay level with Husted.

53%
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33%
Stable · last 24h

53%
Stable · last 24h

51%
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10%
Stable · last 24h

43%
Stable · last 24h
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