Will ChatGPT be the #1 free app in the US App Store on September 11?

48%
+5% last 24h

66%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Aug 2YES if Polymarket's official resolution for the mirrored Polymarket market "Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?" says YES. Otherwise NO. If Polymarket does not publish an official resolution for that event by 11:59 PM UTC on August 2, 2026, this market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled66%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 66% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: This market resolves YES iff Polymarket's official resolution for the mirrored market 'Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?' is YES; otherwise NO. Target/window: net worth on July 31 (the Polymarket event 'Elon Musk Net Worth on July 31'). Observed data (supplied): Polymarket official market state shows that specific market as 'resolved, closed: yes' with outcome prices Yes=0, No=1 — which indicates Polymarket's official resolution = NO. Comparison: the mirror rule requires Polymarket=YES to produce YES here; since Polymarket resolved NO, this market resolves NO. The supplied data does not include a publication date for the Polymarket resolution, so decisiveEvidenceDate is null.
Source: clutch.vipSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledHonestly no, he has more
nah, elon's worth is gonna drop like my phone battery at 10% 😂 not hitting that range!

48%
+5% last 24h

71%
Stable · last 24h

50%
Stable · last 24h

37%
Stable · last 24h

48%
Stable · last 24h

52%
Stable · last 24h
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