Will Google's market share be above 19.6%?

63%
+8% last 24h

84%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 9The rule required Apple, during its September 9, 2026 keynote, to publicly name a new consumer AirPods as the next-generation 'AirPods 5' and either demonstrate it on stage or publish a product page or Newsroom press release for it during the keynote. Apple’s official event summary lists AirPods 5 in the 'Here’s what we announced' section, Apple Newsroom published a September 9, 2026 press release titled 'Apple introduces AirPods 5…' with full product details and availability, and the official livestream includes a labeled 'AirPods 5' segment. Because Apple both identified the product as AirPods 5 and released official product information during the keynote, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled84%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The supplied, contemporaneous official materials show Apple announced and published product information for “AirPods 5” during the September 9, 2026 keynote. Apple’s event page lists AirPods 5 in the “Here’s what we announced” summary, Apple’s Newsroom press release dated September 9, 2026 is titled “Apple introduces AirPods 5…” and provides full product details and pre-order/availability info, and Apple’s official YouTube livestream includes a labeled “AirPods 5” segment (timestamped in the stream). These direct, official sources establish that Apple publicly announced and released official product information for AirPods 5 during the keynote.
Source: apple.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
63%
+8% last 24h

82%
+1% last 24h

73%
Stable · last 24h

75%
-1% last 24h

39%
Stable · last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h
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