Will ChatGPT be the #1 free app in the US App Store on September 11?

47%
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78%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Apple, during its official September 9, 2026 product keynote, publicly announces a new consumer AirPods product that Apple identifies as the next-generation AirPods (commonly called 'AirPods 5') and either demonstrates the product in the keynote or publishes a product page or Newsroom press release for that model during the keynote. Simple mentions of future AirPods without a product launch do not count, and if Apple cancels or postpones the September 9 keynote and the announcement does not occur on that date, the market resolves NO. Authoritative sources are Apple's official keynote video and Apple Newsroom/product pages.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5mac.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 78%, based on 97 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven Apple's pattern of announcing new products during their keynotes, it's very likely we'll see a new AirPods model on September 9. The momentum is strong for a launch.

47%
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56%
Stable · last 24h

80%
Stable · last 24h

52%
Stable · last 24h

36%
Stable · last 24h

47%
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