Will Google have over 21% market share?

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YES if the iPhone App Store United States 'Top Free Apps' overall chart lists ChatGPT at position #1 at 12:00 PM ET on September 11, 2026, otherwise NO. If Apple shows multiple apps tied at #1, the market resolves YES if ChatGPT is among the tied entries. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, the first publicly available chart within the next 48 hours will be used, and if still unavailable the last published ranking will be used. This market resolves identically to the Polymarket market “Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?”.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 11, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 20%, based on 59 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith just a few days left, ChatGPT's chances look strong given its ongoing popularity. Expect it to hit #1 on the App Store by the 11th.

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