Will OpenAI's market share be above 20%?

38%
-45% last 24h

51%
Stable · last 24h
Resolves YES if Apple’s official Newsroom press release, Apple product page, or the official event keynote transcript or video published for the September 9, 2026 Apple event both name a product whose official Apple‑branded name contains the phrase 'MacBook Ultra' and in that same official Apple material explicitly list 'touchscreen', 'touch input', 'touch-capable display' or clearly equivalent wording indicating the display supports direct touch as a marketed feature. Mainstream independent reporting that quotes Apple’s official materials for both the name and the touchscreen claim also counts. Resolves NO otherwise, and NO if Apple cancels or reschedules the event off September 9, 2026.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5mac.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 51%, based on 7 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven Apple's push for innovation, a 'MacBook Ultra' with a touchscreen feels likely. They’ve been hinting at such features recently, so expect it to happen.

38%
-45% last 24h

46%
Stable · last 24h

46%
Stable · last 24h

63%
-7% last 24h

57%
Stable · last 24h

45%
+1% last 24h
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